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Vancouver Housing Bubble

Vancouver Housing Bubble

If you've arrived here, then you're probably worried about a Vancouver housing bubble. Perhaps you think Vancouver housing prices will crash? You can add your own predictions on Vancouver's housing prices below. Whether you're a Vancouver housing and real estate bull or bear, add your savvy predictions for the next few years - you may be surprised amongst all the media hype as to what could really happen. Vancouver is now only second to Hong Kong in over valued real estate. But what if vancouver housing prices were actually spot on?

Inspired by Garth Turner's greaterfool.ca


$1,000,000

5% per year
5 years
5 years
5% per year
10 years




This home will be worth $ in years

... that's $ with a 3% inflation adjustment

don't go away without pumping some bubble
Are you on the road to riches?
WEALTH APPS ON FIND YOUR WORTH






Shortcut to the stats

Who Else is Predicting a Crash of the Vancouver Housing Bubble

Victoria, British Columbia, Canada thought a $725,000 home would go to $913,796 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $2,000,000 home would go to $2,520,815 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Chilliwack, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $593,627 over 11 years (drop 12% for 5 years, go nowhere for 3 years, go up 4% for 3 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,500,000 home would go to $1,250,991 over 16 years (drop 20% for 3 years, go nowhere for 3 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Dearborn, Michigan, United States thought a $950,000 home would go to $1,034,348 over 17 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 7 years)
Victoria, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,271,136 over 20 years (drop 3% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 4% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,862,196 over 28 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 18 years)
Pickering, Ontario, Canada thought a $4,325,000 home would go to $4,291,790 over 35 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 1% for 25 years)
Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $891,582 over 27 years (drop 5% for 8 years, go nowhere for 9 years, go up 3% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $375,000 home would go to $472,653 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
British Columbia, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $979,715 over 20 years (drop 10% for 3 years, go nowhere for 7 years, go up 3% for 10 years)
Markdale, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $596,303 over 25 years (drop 15% for 5 years, go nowhere for 10 years, go up 3% for 10 years)
Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $473,015 over 35 years (drop 5% for 20 years, go nowhere for 1 years, go up 2% for 14 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $722,749 over 20 years (drop 15% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Chatham, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,025,000 home would go to $1,291,918 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Surrey, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $992,519 over 7 years (drop 5% for 3 years, go nowhere for 1 years, go up 5% for 3 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,050,000 home would go to $931,287 over 10 years (drop 10% for 3 years, go nowhere for 2 years, go up 4% for 5 years)
Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $975,279 over 25 years (drop 5% for 10 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Auckland, Auckland Region, New Zealand thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $987,562 over 15 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 5 years)
Auckland, Auckland Region, New Zealand thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,319,405 over 17 years (drop 10% for 2 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Port Coquitlam, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,145,385 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 4% for 10 years)
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $533,756 over 17 years (drop 20% for 5 years, go nowhere for 2 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $4,000,000 home would go to $5,041,630 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Brampton, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $93,600 over 46 years (drop 15% for 24 years, go nowhere for 17 years, go up 12% for 5 years)
Los Angeles, California, United States thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $567,960 over 25 years (drop 5% for 10 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Surrey, British Columbia, Canada thought a $775,000 home would go to $976,816 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,800,944 over 15 years (drop 0% for 0 years, go nowhere for 0 years, go up 4% for 15 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $565,567 over 26 years (drop 20% for 3 years, go nowhere for 13 years, go up 1% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $2,400,000 home would go to $3,754,537 over 17 years (drop 2% for 2 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $409,632 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $923,475 over 14 years (drop 10% for 3 years, go nowhere for 3 years, go up 3% for 8 years)
Surrey, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,398,787 over 17 years (drop 3% for 5 years, go nowhere for 2 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $2,261,368 over 7 years (drop 5% for 2 years, go nowhere for 0 years, go up 19% for 5 years)
Kitchener, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 19 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 4 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,275,000 home would go to $1,096,015 over 20 years (drop 12% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
North Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,043,526 over 20 years (drop 5% for 3 years, go nowhere for 7 years, go up 4% for 10 years)
Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,569,737 over 18 years (drop 8% for 3 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 3% for 10 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,025,000 home would go to $793,125 over 5 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 0 years, go up 0% for 0 years)
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Canada, , Canada thought a $725,000 home would go to $913,796 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $945,306 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Sidney, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $470,371 over 10 years (drop 0% for 0 years, go nowhere for 0 years, go up 3% for 10 years)
Surrey, British Columbia, Canada thought a $475,000 home would go to $598,694 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Victoria, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $647,020 over 33 years (drop 5% for 18 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 11 years)
Fredericton, New Brunswick, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $4,477,297 over 29 years (drop 1% for 4 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 8% for 20 years)
Nepean, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,375,000 home would go to $2,226,498 over 25 years (drop 3% for 5 years, go nowhere for 7 years, go up 5% for 13 years)
Toronto, Ontario, Canada thought a $7,500,000 home would go to $715,471,625 over 27 years (drop 0% for 2 years, go nowhere for 0 years, go up 20% for 25 years)
Woodbridge, Ontario, Canada thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,290,697 over 17 years (drop 5% for 2 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 3% for 10 years)
Kowloon, Kowloon City, Hong Kong thought a $1,200,000 home would go to $937,822 over 8 years (drop 1% for 1 years, go nowhere for 2 years, go up 3% for 1 years)
Park Forest, Illinois, United States thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)
Singapore, , Singapore thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $897,024 over 11 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 3% for 5 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,275,000 home would go to $3,106,405 over 6 years (drop 0% for 0 years, go nowhere for 0 years, go up 16% for 6 years)
Greece, , Greece thought a $7,500,000 home would go to $7,500,000 over 5 years (drop 0% for 0 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 0 years)
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada thought a $1,150,000 home would go to $421,029 over 16 years (drop 10% for 10 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 1 years)
Seattle, Washington, United States thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $1,260,408 over 26 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 16 years)
Gainesville, Florida, United States thought a $1,000,000 home would go to $5,892,406 over 20 years (drop 5% for 5 years, go nowhere for 5 years, go up 5% for 10 years)

Vancouver Housing Bubble Statistics

Here's a compilation of all predictions dropped so far - over 500 and mainly by Vancouverites and our comrades in the rest of Canada, but also some from the UK, Hong Kong, Australia and the United States. The chart shows the total percent change over the period for each prediction - so each data point is one of your predictions. Zoom in, zoom out and hover over a point for the data label.

As an example, a 50% change over 20 years would have a $1M home price going to $1.5M, and that's just over a 2% annualized return over that same period. Nothing is adjusted for inflation.

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